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Commodities

Risk-on Sentiment Prevails, Oil Slump Continues, and Gold Soars

Author: Bruce Liegel Equities Fed Chairman Powell delivered an early Christmas present to the market on Friday when he pretty much laid out the end of this tightening cycle. "Risk-on" was the day’s theme, with the Russell 2000 closing up over 3% on the day. The S&

What Is the Outlook of Gold?

Where are we in the gold price cycle, and what is the future path of gold? Below is our conversation with Bruce Liegel for his analysis on what lies ahead for gold.  Hedder: What’s the main driver for gold ? Bruce: Gold has been in a bull market since 2000.

Are We on the Verge of a Commodity "Supercycle"?

In this Q&A, we sat down with Bruce Liegel for a deep dive on what lies ahead for commodities and whether there is a looming "supercycle". Hedder: There are talks of a looming supercycle. Can you explain what the term means and weigh in with your

Energy Falls, While Bond Vigilantes Return

Author: Bruce Liegel It has been a very wild past few weeks in the markets as the froth of the bull market has reversed in a number of sectors. Some of this has been led by the large increase in “term premium” in the long end of the bond market,

Equities Rallied, Rates Jumped, and Spikes in Energy

Author: Bruce Liegel Last week's price action in equities was quite strong, with the corrective rally back to the lower trend line of the channel met with resistance following the mixed non-farm payrolls employment report. As discussed a few weeks ago, the breakout of the trend channel in

Rates Made New Highs and Energy Rallied

Author: Bruce Liegel The dollar index has held the key support near 100, marked by the horizontal blue line on Chart 1 below. The dollar has had a nice 4% or so bounce off this support, starting off the final rally from the 2011 low. In the short run — next

The Institutionalization of Gold

Author: Bruce Liegel Executive summary: * How gold, in a bull market since 2000, has become 'institutionalized' * A look at gold ETFs, and the role of central banks, inflation and interest rates * And a wider market outlook for gold as well as silver, palladium and platinum Introduction Our previous
The Institutionalization of Gold

Commodities as an Investment Option

Author: Bruce Liegel Over the last year, there has been a lot of speculation that we are in the early stages of another commodity super cycle. The goal of this paper will be to break down the macro commodity opportunities and take a deep look at the economics driving the