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Economy

IMF Cuts China Growth Forecast, Warning of Worsening Property Crisis

China's growth forecast for 2024 has been downgraded by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which cites a deepening property crisis as a key risk to the global economic outlook, CNBC reports. The organization now predicts China's economy will expand by 4.8% this year, down 0.

Fed Walks Tightrope Between Growth and Inflation

The Federal Reserve finds itself at the crossroads of satisfying Wall Street's desires and adhering to its dual mandate of maximum employment and 2% inflation. Recent developments and statements from Fed officials have highlighted the complexities of this balance. The September Rate Cut and Its Aftermath In September,

Goldman Sachs: US Recession Fears Recede as Job Market Shines

The US economy is showing remarkable resilience, leading Goldman Sachs to significantly downgrade its recession probability forecast. Citing a robust job market and strong economic activity, the investment bank now predicts only a 15% chance of a recession in the next 12 months, down from its previous estimate of 20%

US Labor Market Shows Resilience Despite Global Uncertainties

The US labor market defied expectations with a robust performance in September, potentially easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to aggressively cut interest rates. Despite geopolitical headwinds and concerns about a slowing global economy, US employers added a surprising number of jobs, suggesting continued resilience in the face of rising

Can China Spend Its Way Out of a Slump?

China's economic engine is sputtering. The property market is frozen, prices are deflating, and a record number of young people can't find jobs. Faced with the crisis, Beijing is abandoning its cautious approach and vowing to unleash a wave of fiscal stimulus - injecting an estimated
Can China Spend Its Way Out of a Slump?

Lower Interest Rates Fuel Small Business Growth, Says White House

Lower interest rates are good news for small businesses, according to a blog post published by the White House's Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) on September 30. The post highlights how recent reductions in interest rates and new Administration initiatives will benefit thousands of small businesses across the

Norway's Central Bank Holds Firm on Interest Rates While Europe Eases

While central banks across Europe are beginning to ease their aggressive monetary policies to combat inflation, Norway's central bank, Norges Bank, has opted to keep rates high, according to a note published by Morningstar yesterday. High Inflation and Strong Economy Prevent Cuts Norges Bank is expected to maintain

Initial Jobless Claims and ISM Services PMI Signal Cooling Labor Market, Boosting Fed’s Rate Cut Confidence

New initial jobless claims and ISM Services PMI data released Thursday offer investors fresh insights into the economy, as reported by Yahoo Finance. This week’s flurry of economic indicators, leading up to Friday’s jobs report, has sparked questions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy direction. PGIM Fixed

Nationwide Consumer Spending Growth Fueled by Healthcare, Housing, and Food Services

Consumer spending rose across the US in 2023, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, with the percent change ranging from 8.1% in Florida to 4.7% in Iowa.

China's Economic Path: A Sizeable Fiscal Package is Key

China should issue at least 10 trillion yuan (US$1.4 trillion) worth of long-term special treasury bonds to boost consumption and help local governments pay off debt, according to leading Chinese economist Mao Zhenhua, founder of the China Chengxin Credit Rating Group. This bold proposal, reported by the SCMP,