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Inflation

US Disinflation Stalls, Highlighting Tough Road Ahead

US inflation likely remained stagnant in October, highlighting the uneven pace of easing price pressures as the Federal Reserve aims to return inflation to its target, reports Bloomberg. The core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes food and energy, is projected to have risen at the same pace on both

Trump and Bond Yields

Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential race, dubbed by some as the "Super Bowl of Global Politics," triggered mixed reactions across financial markets. While stock indices hit record highs, the US dollar surged, and Bitcoin soared, the bond market responded with a resounding sell-off. This
Trump and Bond Yields

Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts, Aligning With Market Expectations

Turkey's central bank has revised its inflation forecasts for 2024 and 2025 upwards, bringing them closer to market expectations, reports Bloomberg. This move follows two consecutive months of price gains exceeding initial estimates. Officials now project inflation to reach 44% at the end of this year and 21%

Japan's Wage Growth Strengthens Case for BOJ Rate Hike

Japanese workers' base salaries saw their largest increase in over three decades in September, bolstering the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) view that the economy is on a recovery path and supporting the case for a rate hike in the coming months, reports Bloomberg. The pace of gains

Bank of England Cuts Rates, But Sees Higher Inflation After Budget

The Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates on Thursday for only the second time since 2020, but signaled that future reductions would be gradual, citing the impact of the new government's first budget, reports Reuters. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8-1 to lower rates to 4.75%

Trump Win Could Fuel Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

The re-election of Donald Trump to the US presidency could lead to a surge in inflation both domestically and globally, as his proposed economic policies, including tax cuts, immigration restrictions, and tariffs, are likely to stimulate demand and increase costs, reports CNN. Trump's victory, which was projected by

ECB Policymakers Shift Focus to Inflation Undershoot Risk

In a noticeable shift in tone, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are increasingly expressing concern over the risk of inflation falling below their 2% target, reports Reuters. This comes after years of grappling with excessively high inflation. While eurozone inflation dipped to 1.7% last month and is projected to

Jobs Report Fuels Market Optimism: UBS

The weaker-than-expected April jobs report has sparked optimism for a soft landing in the US economy, prompting UBS to reiterate its positive outlook for quality bonds and quality stocks. Friday's report showed a smaller-than-anticipated increase in employment growth, alongside moderating wage growth and a slight uptick in the

Advanced Economies Navigate Away from Immediate Stagflation Threat: BNY Mellon

Despite concerns over recent economic data, advanced economies appear to be moving away from the immediate threat of stagflation, according to a new report by BNY Mellon. The report highlights positive trends in real wage growth and productivity, suggesting a more favorable economic environment compared to the previous year. The

Slower Rate Cuts Expected Across Asia-Pacific and Emerging Markets

The prospect of delayed US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is poised to have significant implications for monetary policy and exchange rates across Asia-Pacific (APAC) and emerging markets (EMs), according to a recent report by S&P Global. Asia-Pacific: Slower Pace of Rate Reductions Central banks in