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US Economy

German Factory Orders Slump for Third Consecutive Month, Casting Shadow on Manufacturing Sector

New factory orders in Germany continued their downward trend in March, falling 0.4% month-over-month, according to a report by Moody's Analytics. This marks the third consecutive monthly decline, underscoring the persistent weakness in demand for industrial goods and raising concerns about the outlook for the German manufacturing

Jobs Report Fuels Market Optimism: UBS

The weaker-than-expected April jobs report has sparked optimism for a soft landing in the US economy, prompting UBS to reiterate its positive outlook for quality bonds and quality stocks. Friday's report showed a smaller-than-anticipated increase in employment growth, alongside moderating wage growth and a slight uptick in the

Fitch Warns of Elevated Credit Risks as "No-Landing" Scenario Gains Traction

Fitch Ratings has issued a warning about increased credit risks in the US market as the likelihood of a "no-landing" scenario, where economic growth and interest rates remain largely unchanged, gains traction. This shift in expectations is driven by persistent inflation, which has cast doubt on the timing

Advanced Economies Navigate Away from Immediate Stagflation Threat: BNY Mellon

Despite concerns over recent economic data, advanced economies appear to be moving away from the immediate threat of stagflation, according to a new report by BNY Mellon. The report highlights positive trends in real wage growth and productivity, suggesting a more favorable economic environment compared to the previous year. The

US Economy Shows Signs of Cooling, But Stubborn Inflation Keeps Fed on Hold

The US economy is exhibiting signs of moderation, with a still-robust but cooling labor market and persistent inflation pressures, according to a research report by Wells Fargo. This dynamic supports the Federal Reserve's patient approach to monetary policy, as the central bank opted to keep interest rates unchanged

Treasury Signals Stable Debt Issuance, Calming Market Jitters

The US Department of the Treasury announced plans to raise approximately $17.2 billion through Treasury securities auctions next week, indicating a stabilization in borrowing needs after several quarters of increases. This news brought some relief to Treasury investors who have been closely monitoring the government's debt issuance
Treasury Signals Stable Debt Issuance, Calming Market Jitters

UBS Expects Soft Landing

Despite recent market volatility and concerns over persistent inflation, UBS remains confident in its base case scenario of a "soft landing" for the US economy, according to the bank's latest daily report. UBS anticipates a cooling of both economic growth and inflation, paving the way for

Treasury Yields Edge Higher as Investors Grapple with Mixed Economic Signals

Treasury yields edged higher last week, reflecting investor uncertainty amidst mixed economic data and anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) upcoming policy decision, says Raymond James in its latest report. Yields on the intermediate to long end of the curve rose between 3 and 6 basis

Oil Price Outlook: Upside Risks Dominate, Says World Bank

Despite a moderate price increase projected for 2024, the World Bank's latest report on the global crude oil market warns of significant upside risks that could send prices soaring. Escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and potential disruptions to North American oil production are identified as
Oil Price Outlook: Upside Risks Dominate, Says World Bank

Global Economic Expansion Broadens, But US Growth Slows: S&P Global

The global economic expansion is becoming increasingly broad-based, with Europe and Japan showing signs of accelerating growth, according to the latest Flash PMI data compiled by S&P Global. However, the US economy appears to be bucking this trend. It is experiencing a slowdown in growth and a decline
Global Economic Expansion Broadens, But US Growth Slows: S&P Global