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Markets Weekly: Trump vs the World Puts Rate Cuts at Risk

President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policy has thrown down the gauntlet, not just to America's trading partners, but also to the Federal Reserve. With a flurry of new tariffs, threats of more to come, and a clear desire for lower interest rates, Trump has created a
Markets Weekly: Trump vs the World Puts Rate Cuts at Risk

Markets Weekly: Gold Keeps Climbing

Gold is on a tear. The precious metal hit record highs this week and is already up 8% year-to-date. Initial forecasts from major banks and economists pointed to the possibility of gold breaking the USD 3,000/oz level amid escalating geopolitical tensions and strong central bank buying. Yet the
Markets Weekly: Gold Keeps Climbing

Markets Weekly: Trump-Fed Feud Masks a Shift in Economics Reality

The battle lines were drawn quickly. Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady at their most recent policy meeting, Donald Trump took to his social media platform, Truth Social, to voice his displeasure, not just with the decision itself, but with the very institution in charge
Markets Weekly: Trump-Fed Feud Masks a Shift in Economics Reality

Weekly Recap | Fed's Hawkish Cut and Market Sell-Off

The Federal Reserve, in its December meeting, delivered exactly what the market had predicted: a 25-basis-point cut to interest rates. Yet, instead of celebrating the anticipated move towards easier monetary policy, markets threw a tantrum. Stocks tumbled, bond yields soared, and volatility spiked – all on the back of a move
Weekly Recap | Fed's Hawkish Cut and Market Sell-Off

Trump's Quest for Cheap Energy

For the past 50 years, every U.S. president has made it a priority to advocate for cheap and secure energy. Donald Trump is no exception. His campaign promises include a pledge to "drill, baby, drill" and cut energy costs for Americans by half. This focus on energy
Trump's Quest for Cheap Energy

Trump and Bond Yields

Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential race, dubbed by some as the "Super Bowl of Global Politics," triggered mixed reactions across financial markets. While stock indices hit record highs, the US dollar surged, and Bitcoin soared, the bond market responded with a resounding sell-off. This
Trump and Bond Yields

Can China Spend Its Way Out of a Slump?

China's economic engine is sputtering. The property market is frozen, prices are deflating, and a record number of young people can't find jobs. Faced with the crisis, Beijing is abandoning its cautious approach and vowing to unleash a wave of fiscal stimulus - injecting an estimated
Can China Spend Its Way Out of a Slump?

An In-Depth Look at The German Dax Index

Author: Bruce Liegel The German Dax made new all-time highs last week, and as Chart 1 shows it has been on a tear over the last few weeks as the market is now aggressively pricing in a dovish interest-rate policy change by global central banks. The so-called “pivot” is now

Risk-on Sentiment Prevails, Oil Slump Continues, and Gold Soars

Author: Bruce Liegel Equities Fed Chairman Powell delivered an early Christmas present to the market on Friday when he pretty much laid out the end of this tightening cycle. "Risk-on" was the day’s theme, with the Russell 2000 closing up over 3% on the day. The S&

What Is the Outlook of Gold?

Where are we in the gold price cycle, and what is the future path of gold? Below is our conversation with Bruce Liegel for his analysis on what lies ahead for gold.  Hedder: What’s the main driver for gold ? Bruce: Gold has been in a bull market since 2000.